UFC recUsKalshi
Brendan Allen16-452%—
Christian Leroy Duncan8-248%—
Elo2228 / 2178
Bid/ask——
UFC fights20 / 10
Our fighter win probability next to the Kalshi price, every UFC bout in the next 15 days · built 2026-10-05T06:49Z · book as of 2026-10-04T02:44Z
"Kalshi" is the latest observed bid/ask mid, de-vigged across the two fighters' legs where both are quoted, and links to the market; the scored benchmark above is the T-6h mid, not this. Card segments (Main Card / Prelims) are ESPN's. UFC records are counted by us from our archive (UFC + Contender Series only, draws and no contests as the third number) — not a fighter's full professional record.
| # | Fighter | Last division | UFC rec | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Islam Makhachev | Welterweight | 18-1 | 2669 |
| 2 | Justin Gaethje | Lightweight | 11-5 | 2492 |
| 3 | Petr Yan | Bantamweight | 12-4 | 2462 |
| 4 | Sean Strickland | Middleweight | 18-7 | 2448 |
| 5 | Nassourdine Imavov | Middleweight | 9-2-1 | 2446 |
| 6 | Valentina Shevchenko | W Flyweight | 15-3-1 | 2433 |
| 7 | Charles Oliveira | Lightweight | 25-11-1 | 2392 |
| 8 | Joshua Van | Flyweight | 11-1 | 2389 |
| 9 | Dricus Du Plessis | Middleweight | 10-1 | 2375 |
| 10 | Merab Dvalishvili | Bantamweight | 14-3 | 2366 |
| 11 | Michael Morales | Welterweight | 8-0 | 2364 |
| 12 | Ilia Topuria | Lightweight | 9-1 | 2351 |
| 13 | Ciryl Gane | Heavyweight | 11-2-1 | 2347 |
| 14 | Carlos Prates | Welterweight | 8-1 | 2343 |
| 15 | Khamzat Chimaev | Middleweight | 9-1 | 2339 |
| 16 | Natalia Silva | W Flyweight | 9-0 | 2332 |
| 17 | Carlos Ulberg | Light Heavyweight | 11-1 | 2316 |
| 18 | Alexander Volkov | Heavyweight | 14-5 | 2312 |
| 19 | Sean O'Malley | Bantamweight | 13-3-1 | 2307 |
| 20 | Ian Machado Garry | Welterweight | 10-2 | 2303 |
| 21 | Magomed Ankalaev | Light Heavyweight | 13-2-2 | 2294 |
| 22 | Gabriel Bonfim | Welterweight | 8-1 | 2271 |
| 23 | Alex Pereira | Heavyweight | 10-3 | 2252 |
| 24 | Mario Bautista | Bantamweight | 12-3 | 2252 |
| 25 | Michael Page | Middleweight | 5-1 | 2248 |
| 26 | Song Yadong | Bantamweight | 13-4-1 | 2242 |
| 27 | Alexander Volkanovski | Featherweight | 15-3 | 2242 |
| 28 | Caio Borralho | Middleweight | 10-1 | 2233 |
| 29 | Sergei Pavlovich | Heavyweight | 9-3 | 2230 |
| 30 | Sean Brady | Welterweight | 9-2 | 2230 |
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