Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas Machac Prediction (Aug 12, 2026)

Result: Pablo Carreno Busta won. We gave Pablo Carreno Busta 46% before the match, so our pick (Tomas Machac) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.287, market six hours out 0.250.

Our modelTomas Machac 54% · Pablo Carreno Busta 46%
Market price at our callTomas Machac 56%
EventCincinnati · Hard
Scheduled startWed Aug 12, 2026, 01:00 PM ET
Call logged2026-08-12 03:43 UTC (before first serve)

Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.

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