Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction (Aug 12, 2026)

Result: Sebastian Baez won. We gave Sebastian Baez 42% before the match, so our pick (Grigor Dimitrov) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.334, market six hours out 0.372.

Our modelGrigor Dimitrov 58% · Sebastian Baez 42%
Market price at our callGrigor Dimitrov 66%
EventCincinnati · Hard
Scheduled startWed Aug 12, 2026, 01:00 PM ET
Call logged2026-08-11 23:27 UTC (before first serve)

Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.

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