Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction (Oct 4, 2026)
Result: Nikola Bartunkova won. We gave Nikola Bartunkova 16% before the match, so our pick (Aryna Sabalenka) was wrong.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.700, market six hours out 0.757.
| Our model | Aryna Sabalenka 84% · Nikola Bartunkova 16% |
| Market price at our call | Aryna Sabalenka 86% |
| Event | Beijing · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Sun Oct 4, 2026, 02:00 AM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-10-03 03:18 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
All Beijing 2026 predictions · Nikola Bartunkova predictions · Aryna Sabalenka predictions
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