Paula Badosa vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction (Oct 2, 2026)
Result: Jelena Ostapenko won. We gave Jelena Ostapenko 48% before the match, so our pick (Paula Badosa) was wrong.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.267, market six hours out 0.410.
| Our model | Paula Badosa 52% · Jelena Ostapenko 48% |
| Market price at our call | Paula Badosa 62% |
| Event | Beijing · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Fri Oct 2, 2026, 02:00 AM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-10-01 09:30 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
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