Tsung-Hao Huang vs Luca Castelnuovo Prediction (Sep 7, 2026)

Result: Luca Castelnuovo won. We gave Luca Castelnuovo 41% before the match, so our pick (Tsung-Hao Huang) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.346, market six hours out 0.109.

Our modelTsung-Hao Huang 59% · Luca Castelnuovo 41%
Market price at our callTsung-Hao Huang 33%
EventChallenger Shanghai Qualification · Hard
Scheduled startMon Sep 7, 2026, 06:00 AM ET
Call logged2026-09-06 19:28 UTC (before first serve)

Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.

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