Lucas Poullain vs Michael Geerts Prediction (Aug 20, 2026)
Result: Lucas Poullain won. We gave Lucas Poullain 50% before the match, so our pick (Michael Geerts) was wrong.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.252, market six hours out 0.230.
| Our model | Michael Geerts 50% · Lucas Poullain 50% |
| Market price at our call | Michael Geerts 47% |
| Event | Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Thu Aug 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-08-19 23:51 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
All Challenger Roehampton 2026 predictions · Lucas Poullain predictions
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