Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils Prediction (Aug 19, 2026)
Result: Arthur Fils won. We gave Arthur Fils 50% before the match, so our pick (Arthur Fils) was right.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.248, market six hours out 0.152.
| Our model | Arthur Fils 50% · Alex de Minaur 50% |
| Market price at our call | Arthur Fils 62% |
| Event | Cincinnati · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Wed Aug 19, 2026, 02:00 PM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-08-18 15:26 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
All Cincinnati 2026 predictions · Alex de Minaur predictions · Arthur Fils predictions
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