Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi Prediction (Aug 17, 2026)
Result: Rio Noguchi won. We gave Rio Noguchi 62% before the match, so our pick (Rio Noguchi) was right.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.147, market six hours out 0.102.
| Our model | Rio Noguchi 62% · Luis Carlos Alvarez 38% |
| Market price at our call | Rio Noguchi 65% |
| Event | Challenger Cancun · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Mon Aug 17, 2026, 09:20 PM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
All Challenger Cancun 2026 predictions · Rio Noguchi predictions
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