Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka Prediction (Aug 16, 2026)

Result: Hayato Matsuoka won. We gave Hayato Matsuoka 36% before the match, so our pick (Aziz Dougaz) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.403, market six hours out 0.152.

Our modelAziz Dougaz 64% · Hayato Matsuoka 36%
Market price at our callAziz Dougaz 44%
EventChallenger Astana · Hard
Scheduled startSun Aug 16, 2026, 07:00 AM ET
Call logged2026-08-15 20:20 UTC (before first serve)
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