Hayato Matsuoka vs Fajing Sun Prediction (Aug 14, 2026)

Result: Hayato Matsuoka won. We gave Hayato Matsuoka 47% before the match, so our pick (Fajing Sun) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.285, market six hours out 0.176.

Our modelFajing Sun 53% · Hayato Matsuoka 47%
Market price at our callFajing Sun 45%
EventChallenger Astana · Hard
Scheduled startFri Aug 14, 2026, 05:00 AM ET
Call logged2026-08-13 18:13 UTC (before first serve)

Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.

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