Lorenzo Giustino vs Matej Dodig Prediction (Aug 6, 2026)

Result: Lorenzo Giustino won. We gave Lorenzo Giustino 40% before the match, so our pick (Matej Dodig) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.356, market six hours out 0.449.

Our modelMatej Dodig 60% · Lorenzo Giustino 40%
Market price at our callMatej Dodig 70%
EventChallenger Hagen · Clay
Scheduled startThu Aug 6, 2026, 08:00 AM ET
Call logged2026-08-05 21:15 UTC (before first serve)
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