Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction (Aug 5, 2026)
Result: Matteo Arnaldi won. We gave Matteo Arnaldi 46% before the match, so our pick (Fabian Marozsan) was wrong.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.294, market six hours out 0.325.
| Our model | Fabian Marozsan 54% · Matteo Arnaldi 46% |
| Market price at our call | Fabian Marozsan 32% |
| Event | Montreal · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Wed Aug 5, 2026, 06:30 PM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-08-04 23:41 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
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