Colton Smith vs Jay Friend Prediction (Aug 4, 2026)
Result: Jay Friend won. We gave Jay Friend 53% before the match, so our pick (Jay Friend) was right.
Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.219, market six hours out 0.325.
| Our model | Jay Friend 53% · Colton Smith 47% |
| Market price at our call | Jay Friend 46% |
| Event | Challenger Lexington · Hard |
| Scheduled start | Tue Aug 4, 2026, 04:20 PM ET |
| Call logged | 2026-08-04 05:51 UTC (before first serve) |
Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.
All Challenger Lexington 2026 predictions · Jay Friend predictions
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