Mattia Bellucci vs Sebastian Baez Prediction (Aug 2, 2026)

Result: Sebastian Baez won. We gave Sebastian Baez 58% before the match, so our pick (Sebastian Baez) was right.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.180, market six hours out 0.336.

Our modelSebastian Baez 58% · Mattia Bellucci 42%
Market price at our callSebastian Baez 66%
EventNational Bank Open presented by Rogers · Clay
Scheduled startSun Aug 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Call logged2026-07-31 18:09 UTC (before first serve)

Every call we make is logged before the match and graded after it. See the live tennis board, the full match list and our public track record.

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