Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Gea Prediction (Aug 1, 2026)

Result: Arthur Gea won. We gave Arthur Gea 45% before the match, so our pick (Denis Shapovalov) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.302, market six hours out 0.348.

Our modelDenis Shapovalov 55% · Arthur Gea 45%
Market price at our callDenis Shapovalov 53%
EventMifel Tennis Open by Telcel Oppo · Clay
Scheduled startSat Aug 1, 2026, 11:00 PM ET
Call logged2026-08-01 08:15 UTC (before first serve)
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