Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago Monteiro Prediction (Jul 30, 2026)

Result: Thiago Monteiro won. We gave Thiago Monteiro 47% before the match, so our pick (Andrea Pellegrino) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.282, market six hours out 0.410.

Our modelAndrea Pellegrino 53% · Thiago Monteiro 47%
Market price at our callAndrea Pellegrino 62%
EventATP Challenger Oeiras · Clay
Scheduled startThu Jul 30, 2026, 05:30 PM ET
Call logged2026-07-30 06:57 UTC (before first serve)
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