Liam Draxl vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction (Jul 25, 2026)

Result: Liam Draxl won. We gave Liam Draxl 47% before the match, so our pick (Shintaro Mochizuki) was wrong.

Brier score (lower is better): ours 0.277, market six hours out 0.270.

Our modelShintaro Mochizuki 53% · Liam Draxl 47%
Market price at our callShintaro Mochizuki 54%
EventATP Challenger · Hard
Scheduled startSat Jul 25, 2026, 06:10 PM ET
Call logged2026-07-25 07:27 UTC (before first serve)
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