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"model_reason": "no ratings pool for this competition" }, { "event_ticker": "KXUEFANLGAME-26OCT06ESTISL", "league": "UEFANL", "league_name": "Nations League", "kickoff_utc": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z", "kickoff_src": "estimated", "home_src": "presumed (Kalshi first-named)", "home": "Estonia", "away": "Iceland", "market_home": 0.1566, "market_draw": 0.2323, "market_away": 0.6111, "bid_home": 0.15, "bid_draw": 0.22, "bid_away": 0.6, "ask_home": 0.16, "ask_draw": 0.24, "ask_away": 0.61, "spread_home": 0.01, "spread_draw": 0.02, "spread_away": 0.01, "legs_sum": 0.99, "volume": 3572.6, "market_o25": 0.505, "market_btts": 0.5, "observed_at": "2026-10-05T02:37:21.591314+00:00", "model_reason": "no ratings pool for this competition" }, { "event_ticker": "KXUEFANLGAME-26OCT06LUXBUL", "league": "UEFANL", "league_name": "Nations League", "kickoff_utc": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z", "kickoff_src": "estimated", "home_src": "presumed (Kalshi first-named)", "home": "Luxembourg", "away": "Bulgaria", 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0.46499999999999997, "observed_at": "2026-10-05T02:37:21.591314+00:00", "model_reason": "no ratings pool for this competition" }, { "event_ticker": "KXUEFANLGAME-26OCT06SCOSLO", "league": "UEFANL", "league_name": "Nations League", "kickoff_utc": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z", "kickoff_src": "estimated", "home_src": "presumed (Kalshi first-named)", "home": "Scotland", "away": "Slovenia", "market_home": 0.5578, "market_draw": 0.2563, "market_away": 0.1859, "bid_home": 0.55, "bid_draw": 0.25, "bid_away": 0.18, "ask_home": 0.56, "ask_draw": 0.26, "ask_away": 0.19, "spread_home": 0.01, "spread_draw": 0.01, "spread_away": 0.01, "legs_sum": 0.995, "volume": 10667.06, "market_o25": 0.415, "market_btts": 0.445, "observed_at": "2026-10-05T02:37:21.591314+00:00", "model_reason": "no ratings pool for this competition" }, { "event_ticker": "KXUEFANLGAME-26OCT06SUIMKD", "league": "UEFANL", "league_name": "Nations League", "kickoff_utc": "2026-10-06T18:45:00Z", "kickoff_src": "estimated", "home_src": "presumed (Kalshi first-named)", "home": "Switzerland", "away": "North Macedonia", "market_home": 0.8894, "market_draw": 0.0754, "market_away": 0.0352, "bid_home": 0.88, "bid_draw": 0.07, "bid_away": 0.03, "ask_home": 0.89, "ask_draw": 0.08, "ask_away": 0.04, "spread_home": 0.01, "spread_draw": 0.01, "spread_away": 0.01, "legs_sum": 0.995, "volume": 10833.86, "market_o25": 0.69, "market_btts": 0.325, "observed_at": "2026-10-05T02:37:21.591314+00:00", "model_reason": "no ratings pool for this competition" } ], "disclaimer": "Not financial advice. Market-implied probabilities are observations of a public exchange, not our forecast." }